Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Nobel Prize winner Richard Thaler baffled by market

Nobel Prize winner Richard Thaler says this could be ‘the riskiest moment of our lives’ - MarketWatch

‘We seem to be living in the riskiest moment of our lives, and yet the stock market seems to be napping. I admit to not understanding it.’

Richard Thaler

Sunday, May 7, 2017

Sad, but true

A sound banker, alas! is not one who foresees danger and avoids it, but one who, when he is ruined, is ruined in a conventional and orthodox way along with his fellows, so that no one can really blame him.

— John Maynard Keynes

Monday, April 24, 2017

America’s financial war strategy

America’s financial war strategy

Bob Moriarty of 321gold calls this a must read to which we can only agree....this essay connects the dots between pre-election and post-election Trump, China, North Korea, Iran, Russia, et al.

Tuesday, April 18, 2017

Economy turning down?

The Military Complex Has Taken Control Of The White House:

Feature includes these points:
  1. Auto sales are down 10% since the beginning to 2017.
  2. JP Morgan, despite “beating” earnings estimates, disclosed a troubling spike in credit card write-offs, which rose to nearly $1 billion in Q1. 
  3. Retail sales have now declined two months in a row. It’s no coincidence that the dismal sales report was released on Good Friday when the market was closed. The original .1% gain reported for February was revised down significantly to a decline of .3%. 
  4. Restaurant industry sales have declined for 11 of the last 12 months in a row on a year over year monthly basis.

Thursday, March 23, 2017

VIX Cycles Set To Explode March/April 2017 – Part II

VIX Cycles Set To Explode March/April 2017 – Part II

Where are they now? Five years later a look in on the Catalyst Hedged Futures Strategy Fund

Back in September, 2012, FUTURES magazine featured a story titled "Walczak finds safe harbor in options."

(The combination of "safe harbor" and "options" might seem a bit of an oxymoron to some, especially on a bad day.)

In any case, Zero Hedge recently zeroed in on Ed and his fund, and made some rather grand claims about his ability to move the market.  True?  Hard to say.  In any case, he had a string a great years, but perhaps got caught in the recent relentless march upwards of the Trump Market.

Why are we posting this now?  This week's sharp action makes it not too late to give a look to those who favor 1 x 2s, and 1 x 3s, as some say we are setting up for a sharp down move ying to the yang of the long upmove.

One of those who had been saying so:  Trump himself.  As in "it's all a big bubble."

An interesting read on Walczak, and food for thought about excessive leverage.

Meet The Man Behind The Market's Relentless Ramp | Zero Hedge

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Feature: A Road Trip with Options Supertraders

Download your copy here.  From Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities.  By John A. Sarkett.

Tuesday, January 17, 2017

New features coming out

February and March issues of Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities will include features on the butterfly from Option Wizard creator and author John Sarkett.